Author: g_fasol

  • Apple Nintendo Sony: The power of focus

    Apple Nintendo Sony: The power of focus

    Lets benchmark three iconic companies:

    Apple Nintendo Sony

    Apple Nintendo Sony: three iconic companies evolving along very different paths. Apple’s current physical products famously all fit onto a single mid-sized table. Nintendo’s current physical products as well, for SONY you’d need a warehouse.

    • APPLE: Wednesday October 22 APPLE announced spectacular full-year results with a year-on-year net income increase of 38%. The results are even better than they look, because iPhone sales and income are spread forward over 2 years due to accounting rules. (See our comments on CNBC here)
    • NINTENDO: on August 29, 2008 Nintendo revised the forecast for full-year net income upward by +26.2% (See our comments on CNBC here)
    • SONY: in contrast, on October 23, 2008, SONY said that full-year net income (for the financial year ending March 2009) is expected to be 37.5% lower than previously predicted (see our comments on SONY’s 1Q results here on CNBC)

    Apple Nintendo Sony – Lets look at today’s market caps:

    • APPLE market cap = US$ 85.6 Billion (about 4 x SONY)
    • NINTENDO market cap = US$ 37.2 Billion (about 2 x SONY)
    • SONY market cap = US$ 19.9 Billion

    Apple Nintendo Sony – Why this dramatic difference in market caps? We believe its focus.

    Apple and Nintendo are companies with clear focus. Lets look at the details below:

    Comparing revenues (sales):

    SONY = 3 x APPLE
    SONY = 4 x NINTENDO

    Annual revenues of Apple, Nintendo and SONY
    Annual revenues of Apple, Nintendo and SONY

    Comparing annual operating income:

    APPLE = 3 x SONY
    NINTENDO = 3 x SONY

    Operating income of Apple, Nintendo and SONY
    Operating income of Apple, Nintendo and SONY

    Comparing operating margin:

    APPLE = 9 x SONY
    NINTENDO = 15 x SONY

    Operating margin (operating income as a ratio of revenues) for Apple, Nintendo and SONY
    Operating margin (operating income as a ratio of revenues) for Apple, Nintendo and SONY

    Read our report on Japan’s electronics industry sector

    Japan electronics industries – mono zukuri

    Copyright (c) 2008-2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Today’s APPLE 4th quarter results vs NINTENDO

    Today’s APPLE 4th quarter results vs NINTENDO

    A few hours ago (Oct 22, 2008, 6am Tokyo Time) APPLE announced 4th Quarter and Full Year results – we are here updating our comparison between APPLE and NINTENDO. With 6.9 million iPhones sold in APPLE’s 4th Quarter (July + August + September 2008), APPLE has achieved 2.76% market share of all mobile phones globally.

    APPLE strongly accelerates lead over NINTENDO in term of sales (see figure below) – even more dramatically, if we take into account that the iPhone in 4th Quarter now accounts for 39% of APPLE’s sales. APPLE accounts for iPhone sales in terms of a subscription model over two years because of free software updates for iPhones. If we would use APPLE’s non-GAAP figures, which book iPhone sales fully at the point of sale, then APPLE’s sales lead over NINTENDO would be even stronger.

    In terms of margins we see the opposite trend: NINTENDO‘s lead over APPLE in terms of higher margins expands (see below).

    Watch our interview about APPLE’s 4Q results today 11:50am (Tokyo time) on CNBC as a video clip.

    Apple accelerated lead over Nintendo in terms of revenues.

    Apple’s lead would be more dramatic if correcting for Apple’s subscription model used for iPhone sales according to GAAP rules.

    Annual revenues, operating income and net income of Apple vs Nintendo
    Annual revenues, operating income and net income of Apple vs Nintendo

    While Apple’s lead over Nintendo in terms of sales is growing, Nintendo’s lead in terms of operating margins is expanding.

    Operating margins: Apple vs Nintendo
    Operating margins: Apple vs Nintendo

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Games: Nintendo – the winner takes it all

    Games: Nintendo – the winner takes it all

    Game industries in total are MUCH bigger than music industries… in Japan game industries are about 10 times bigger business than music industries… Last weekend we had the Tokyo Game Show – read some key points below! From 2006 Japan’s game sector changed dramatically- Nintendo created several paradigm shifts, and “took off”. Read more about Nintendo driven paradigm shifts below. US games giant Electronic Arts (EA) would rank 5th in sales, was EA Japanese. Japan’s games industries are big!

    Nintendo income takes off: Nintendo broke the PC-style race for faster machines, and broke out of the limited market of hard core gamers. From FY 2007 Nintendo’s income takes off:

    Operating income for Japan's  game  companies
    Operating income for Japan’s game companies

    Nintendo’s DS: braintraining instead of shooting.

    SONY’s PSP goes for power, and Nintendo’s DS changed the paradigm + went for lower price. By the way, we see a shift from TV video games to portable and mobile phone games in terms of numbers: for current 7th generation game platforms portables outsell TV video consoles 2:1. DS’s success encouraged Nintendo to develop the Wii.

    sales of SONY-PSP vs Nintendo DS in Japan and globally
    sales of SONY-PSP vs Nintendo DS in Japan and globally

    Avoid the dinosaurs:

    global sales of Nintendo Wii, SONY Playstation PS3, and Microsoft Xbox-360

    “Too many powerful consoles are like ferocious dinosaurs. They might fight and hasten their own exinction” (Nintendo’s Shigeru Miyamoto in an interview). Nintendo’s Wii has much less power, lower screen resolution, and is much cheaper to make and cheaper to buy than PS3 and Xbox360. Nintendo makes money on every Wii sold.

    Sales of Nintendo-Wii vs SONY-PSP vs Microsoft XBOX
    Sales of Nintendo-Wii vs SONY-PSP vs Microsoft XBOX

    Report: “Nintendo and Japan’s games industries” (9th edition, 181 pages, release October 15, 2008, pdf-file for download):

    Eurotechnology report on Nintendo and Japan's game industry
    Eurotechnology report on Nintendo and Japan’s game industry

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Paradigm change of the global mobile phone business and opportunities for Japanese mobile phone makers

    Presentation at the CEATEC Conference, talk NT-13, Meeting Room 302, International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe, Friday October 3, 2008, 11:00-12:00.

    See the announcement here [in English] and in Japanese [世界の携帯電話市場のパラダイム変更と日本の携帯電話メーカーのチャンス]

    The emergence of iPhone, Android, open-sourcing of Symbian, and the growth of mobile data services are changing the paradigm of the global mobile phone business opening new opportunities for Japanese mobile phone makers. Japan’s mobile phone handset makers have missed most opportunities during the first wave of mobile phone opportunities. The developing paradigm change opens new opportunities for Japanese makers. The talk will explain the paradigm shifts and trends of the global mobile phone handset market, and resulting opportunities for Japanese mobile phone makers, and will indicate how these opportunities can actually be realized.

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • eMobile: "New age" mobile operator innovates

    eMobile: "New age" mobile operator innovates

    “New Age” mobile operator eMobile started with a “green field” nationwide HSDPA 3G network offering commercial services since March 31, 2007. By August 2008, eMobile has attracted more than 750,000 subscribers. eMobile‘s network covers about 85% of Japan at this time.

    At an investors conference, eMobile‘s CEO recently explained, how his company could reduce the costs of the radio network and base stations down to 1/5th – 1/8th of the costs his competitors pay, by carefully selecting the two best base station manufacturers/vendors. Read who these two base station manufacturers are (one of them may be an unexpected choice) in the newest edition of our eMobile – report.

    The US$ 1 laptop:

    eMobile offers a US$ 1 (YEN 100) laptop – in combination with a 2 year 7.2 Mbps true flat-fee data subscription.

    (note that this flat data fee plan has absolutely no data limit. Totally unlimited data plans for laptops are uncommon in Europe and US, where most “flat” data plans come with a very low “fair use” limit above which prices increase dramatically). Low priced laptops are a huge market success in Japan and put pressure on traditional laptop makers. eMobile offers subsidized Asus EEE’s / ASUSTeK EEE’s – and many other laptops, including also iBooks.

    100 yen laptop with mobile subscription
    100 yen laptop with mobile subscription

    Copyright· (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Warren Buffet’s Iscar Ltd of Israel acquired Japanese tungsten carbide tool maker Tungaloy for US$ 1 billion

    Warren Buffet’s Iscar Ltd of Israel acquired Japanese tungsten carbide tool maker Tungaloy for US$ 1 billion

    22 Sept 2008, author Gerhard Fasol

    The Israeli company Iscar has completed the acquisition of Japanese competitor Tungaloy Corporation. Iscar acquired more than 90% of outstanding shares for around US$ 1 billion from Nomura Principal Finance Co.

    The acquisition of Tungaloy by Warren Buffet/Berkshire Hathaway’s Iscar was announced on Monday September 22, 2008.

    Iscar is the world’s second largest maker of tungsten carbide cutting tools, and competitor Tungaloy is the world’s fifth largest. Iscar is controlled by Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. – Berkshire Hathaway acquired 80% of Iscar for US$ 4 billion in 2006.

    The merged Iscar and Tungaloy will be better positioned to compete with global leader Sandvik AB, which has sales on the order of US$ 4 Billion.

    Tungaloy Corporation emerged via a management buyout from Toshiba Tungaloy, with Nomura Principal Finance Co. as the largest share holder. Tungaloy has sales of YEN 50 Billion (approx. US$ 500 million), was founded in 1934, and has 2618 employees. Tungaloy is the fifth largest maker of Tungsten Carbide cutting tools in the world.

    Iscar entered Japan’s market by opening a 100% owned subsidiary company in 1994, about 14 years ago.

    To my knowledge this acquisition is also far larger than any acquisition in Japan by any European Union (EU) company this year (last year, in 2007 Permira announced the acquisition of Arysta LifeScience Corporation for US$ 2.2 Billion and completed the deal during 2008). The three largest acquisitions ever of Japanese companies by EU companies have been Vodafone’s acquisition of J-Phone (transaction value: about US$ 20 Billion), Daimler’s acquisition of Mitsubishi Motors (transaction value: about US$ 2-3 Billion), and Renault’s investment in Nissan (initial transaction value: about US$ 3 Billion) – of these three, only the Renault investment in Nissan was successful, the other two failed.

    Copyright notice:

    Warren Buffet: Warren Buffett at the 2015 SelectUSA Investment Summit.

    Permission (commons.wikipmedia.org):

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    This file has been identified as being free of known restrictions under copyright law, including all related and neighboring rights.
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    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • H&M success in Japan: green field market entry to Japan

    H&M success in Japan: green field market entry to Japan

    H&M opened the first store in Japan in Tokyo-Ginza on September 13, 2008

    by Gerhard Fasol

    Long queues in the first few days: 8000 shoppers/day

    H&M entered Japan‘s apparel market initially using a green field strategy, opening stores. On September 13, 2008, H&M opened the first store in Japan in Ginza, and is planning two more stores in Shibuya (see picture below) and in Harajuku.

    H&M success in Japan – adapt to Japan:

    H&M adapted it’s global way of doing things to Japan’s market needs – for example, H&M introduced “Quality Managers” in it’s Japan store, in order to match Japan’s consumers high expectations for quality (and I guess also to avoid problems with Japan’s recently introduced product liability laws).

    H&M success in Japan – 8000 customers per day:

    One week after opening, customers are queuing in line to enter the store – typical waiting time is about 2 hours, daily number of visitors to the store are estimated to be about 8000/day.

    Closest foreign competitors in Japan include US retailer GAP, and Spanish retailer Inditex (Diseno Textil SA)’s ZARA.

    Biggest Japanese competitor is Fast Retailing’s UNIQLO.

    H&M is preparing to open the second and third stores in Shibuya (photo below) and in Harajuku.

    H&M success in Japan – comments:

    H&M has had a very successful start and has created a successful opening “event”. To be successful longterm H&M will have to:

    • sufficiently tune to Japan,
    • continue to innovate,
    • compete successfully especially with UNIQLO
    Long queues on the first days: 8000 shoppers/day at H&M's first store in Japan
    Long queues on the first days: 8000 shoppers/day at H&M’s first store in Japan
    H&M first store in Japan, in Tokyo/Ginza opened on 13 September 2008
    H&M first store in Japan, in Tokyo/Ginza opened on 13 September 2008
    H&M first store in Japan, in Tokyo/Ginza opened on 13 September 2008
    H&M first store in Japan, in Tokyo/Ginza opened on 13 September 2008
    H&M's second Japanese store is under construction in Shibuya
    H&M’s second Japanese store is under construction in Shibuya

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • LDP President (and candidates for the next Prime Minister) present their messages

    LDP President (and candidates for the next Prime Minister) present their messages

    The candidates for the next President of the LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) of Japan presented their views and answered questions at the FCCJ in Tokyo to the foreign press. An LDP party electoral college (387 Diet members + 141 regional representatives, in total 528 votes) will vote to select the president on September 22, 2008, who is likely to become the next Prime Minister after Yasuo Fukuda’s resignation. The candidates are:

    • Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform
    • Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe
    • Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics.
    • Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda
    • Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy

    Our comment:

    Media generally predict that Taro Aso is likely to win the race for Presidency of the LDP and thus become next Prime Minister of Japan. Taro Aso comes from a leading family, and has wide experience.
    Having attended the event at the Correspondents Club, in my opinion Mme Koike gave the clearest presentation – having worked as TV journalist clearly helps, but its also the content of her political program which is clear and meaningful and easy to understand. Mme Koike’s program included the plan to “destroy Kasumigaseki”, meaning that she plans to take political power from the Ministries to the Government and strengthen political leadership…

    There is a generation gap between Aso (67) and Yosano (70) – and – Ishihara (50), Koike (56) and Ishiba (51). The presentations also clearly manifested this generation gap.
    In my opinion Japan would benefit from diversity in leadership. Japan already has a number of outstanding women leaders, and would benefit to have some more women in politics as well, including top positions. So if I could vote – which I can’t – I would myself vote for Ms Koike, and I said so in a TV interview by Asahi-TV.

    Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics. Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
    Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics. Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
    Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform

Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe

Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics.

Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda

Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
    Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics. Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
    Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform

Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe

Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics.

Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda

Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
    Nobuteru Ishihara (50), son of Governor Ishihara of Tokyo. Minister for Administrative and Regulatory Reform Yuriko Koike (56), Journalist, Minister of Defence under Prime-Minister Abe Taro Aso (67), Minister of Foreign Affairs und Prime Ministers Shinzo Abe and Junichiro Koizumi. Taro Aso is Roman Catholic. Studied at Stanford University and at the London School of Economics. Shigeru Ishiba (51), Minister of Defence under Prime Minister Fukuda Kaoru Yosano (70), currently State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • XBOX Japan entry

    XBOX Japan entry

    XBOX still faces difficulties in Japan

    XBOX Japan entry: Microsoft reduces prices by 30%

    Microsoft announced to reduce prices for Xbox-360 by 30% in Japan. We believe that this price reduction will not be enough to bring the breakthrough for Xbox in Japan.

    Nintendo has reinvented the game industry, created a completely new paradigm. Nintendo does not reduce prices. Xbox is still in the pre-paradigm shift world… prices are not the issue.

    Japan game market report (398 pages, pdf-file):

    XBOX Japan entry: CNBC interview

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • XBOX Japan strategy – Microsoft still struggling

    XBOX Japan strategy – Microsoft still struggling

    Microsoft XBOX introduced XBOX to Japan on February 22, 2002

    XBOX Japan Strategy – CNBC interview

    Microsoft introduced the original XBOX game console in the USA on November 15, 2001, in Japan on February 22, 2002, and in Europe on March 14, 2002.

    During the period January-June 2005, three years after introduction of the XBOX to Japan’s market, SONY sold about 2.4 Million game terminals in Japan, Nintendo sold about 1.9 Million, and Microsoft about 9000 XBOXes, about 0.2% marketshare.

    As of August 24, 2008, Nintendo has sold about 6.7 Million Wii, SONY has sold about 2.3 PS3, and Microsoft about 380,000 XBOX-360 in Japan, a 4% share in this segment.

    A few days ago, Microsoft announced a price cut of 30% for XBOX-360 in Japan – the video below gives our comments on this price reduction on CNBC.

    Here is a short summary of the CNBC-TV interview:

    XBOX Japan Strategy Question: Do you think the price reduction is going to do the trick?

    A: No. In other markets maybe, but not in Japan.

    XBOX Japan Strategy Question: Do you think XBOX can be successful in Japan? What will it take before Microsoft will give up and say it just isn’t working

    A: Of course Microsoft can be successful in Japan with XBOX. There is no law that XBOX cannot be successful in Japan. Microsoft generally is a company that never gives up. But they have to change their strategy for Japan.

    XBOX Japan Strategy Question: So Microsoft isn’t doing the right things. What would the right things be?

    A: Difficult to say of course, if it was easy Microsoft would already have done this. The situation is that Nintendo has completely changed the business paradigm of the game industry. Microsoft’s XBOX is still operating under the old paradigm.

    XBOX Japan Strategy Question: How long do you think Nintendo’s sweetspot is going to last?

    A: Nintendo have reinvented the game industry, and completely changed the business models. They also make a lot of their own software. All this puts Nintendo into a very good position.

    What can we learn about strategy for Japan from Microsoft’s XBOX experience:

    Global products, not adapted to Japan’s market, often do not succeed in Japan. Microsoft’s XBOX is a very good example. Microsoft has one of Japan’s most famous brands, so its not a problem of the brand.

    Microsoft faces three problems in Japan:

    1. XBOX is not made for Japanese users in mind
    2. Nintendo changed the paradigm of the game industry, and XBOX is still on the old track
    3. Of three global game console companies (Nintendo, SONY, Nintendo) two are both much stronger than Microsoft in games, and both are on their hometurf in Japan. Microsoft would need to invest more and focus efforts much more on Japan to succeed in Japan with XBOX.

    Japan game market disruption market report:

    Japan game market report (398 pages, pdf-file):

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • iPhone in Japan – in the press

    iPhone in Japan – in the press

    Here some articles about the panel discussion at the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan on the topic “Will The iPhone Trigger A Turning Point In Japan’s Mobile Phone Industry?”

    Apple iPhone is having success in Japan against local internet mobiles (The Australian)

    The iPhone’s impact in Japan (BusinessWeek)

    panel discussion at the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan on the topic "Will The iPhone Trigger A Turning Point In Japan's Mobile Phone Industry?"
    panel discussion at the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan on the topic “Will The iPhone Trigger A Turning Point In Japan’s Mobile Phone Industry?”

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • 75% of mobile phones in Japan ship with digital mobile TV

    75% of mobile phones in Japan ship with digital mobile TV

    Digital mobile TV started in Japan in 2005 – about 3 years ago: KDDI/AU sold the first phones with digital mobile TV starting in October 2005, at the same time mobile TV was available for public testing. The official commercial service of mobile TV started on April 1, 2006.

    Today more than 75% ship with 1-seg mobile digital TV tuner and software, and the percentage is rapidly increasing as the figure below shows. Quite soon, almost all mobile phones in Japan will ship with digital mobile TV.

    Percentage of Japanese mobile phones shipped with 1seg mobile TV built in
    Percentage of Japanese mobile phones shipped with 1seg mobile TV built in
    2G vs 3G phones in Japan
    2G vs 3G phones in Japan

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Last 2G phone shipped 8 months ago in Japan, 2G networks are switched off

    Last 2G phone shipped 8 months ago in Japan, 2G networks are switched off

    KDDI/AU switched off 2G radio network in March 2008, Docomo and SoftBank to switch off 2G networks in 2009

    Second generation (2G) phones silently bowed out of Japan’s market 8 months ago: the last 2G phones in Japan were shipped in December 2007. KDDI/AU switched off their 2G radio network in March 2008, this year, and both DoCoMo and SoftBank announced that they will switch off their slow and expensive 2G networks in the very near future (about 2009). Almost all other countries in the world either depend on legacy 2G networks only, or keep legacy 2G going while building out third generation in parallel. (Today’s 3G HSDPA phones transmit data up to 250 times faster than 2G phones did on a good day).

    2G vs 3G phones in Japan
    2G vs 3G phones in Japan

    The last 2nd generation (2G) phones shipped in Japan in December 2007. Almost all other countries keep legacy 2G networks running – Japan just switches them off. More in our JCOMM report.

    Copyright (c) 2008-2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Will the iPhone trigger a turning point in Japan’s mobile phone industry?

    Will the iPhone trigger a turning point in Japan’s mobile phone industry?

    Tetsuzo Matsumoto (Senior Executive Vice-President and Board Member of SOFTBANK MOBILE Corporation),
    Gerhard Fasol (CEO, Eurotechnology Japan KK)
    and
    Dennis Normile (Japan Correspondent of SCIENCE Magazine, and FCCJ)
    discuss about the future of Japan’s mobile phone market.

    “Will the iPhone trigger a turning point in Japan’s mobile phone industry?”
    (Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan, Tokyo Wednesday, August 13, 2008, 12:00-14:00)

    (Photo: Copyright Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan, used with permission)

    panel discussion at the Foreign Correspondents' Club of Japan on the topic "Will The iPhone Trigger A Turning Point In Japan's Mobile Phone Industry?"
    panel discussion at the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Japan on the topic “Will The iPhone Trigger A Turning Point In Japan’s Mobile Phone Industry?”

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • How many iPhones were sold in July 2008 in Japan?

    How many iPhones were sold in July 2008 in Japan?

    How many iPhones did SoftBank sell in Japan during July?

    Our estimate: between 75,000 – 125,000. Read on about how we arrived at this estimate.

    Net growth of mobile subscription numbers in Japan (Japan’s mobile market grows by about 5.5 million per year – for more analysis read our JCOMM-Report).

    Growth/loss of mobile subscriptions of Japan's mobile operators during the period 2006-2008
    Growth/loss of mobile subscriptions of Japan’s mobile operators during the period 2006-2008

    How did we arrive at the estimate of 75,000-125,000 iPhones sold in Japan during July?

    When we analyze the Figure above, we can see that SoftBank‘s subscriber numbers increased by 158,900 during June 2008, and the monthly increase jumped to 215,400 during July 2008. We can also see that for no other month except for March 2006, March 2007, and March 2008 was there such a jump (in Japan March is the month of peak mobile phone sales, because new jobs traditionally start with the beginning of the financial year on April, 1). Since SoftBank did not introduce any other spectacular phones during July 2008, we can safely assume that most of the 56,500 net increase jump from June to July are iPhone sales to new subscribers, or new subscriptions for second phones, or number portability users moving over from DoCoMo or KDDI. However, this number would not count current SoftBank subscribers who are upgrading existing subscriptions from a previous older phone to an iPhone. Since we are not aware that SoftBank announces this number, we need to estimate it. If we assume that there were equal numbers of new subscriptions for iPhones as replacements, we would arrive at an estimate of 100,000 iPhones sold during July 2008 in Japan. If we estimate, that this second assumption has a +/- 50% error margin, then we arrive at an estimate of between 75,000-125,000 iPhones sold in Japan during July 2008.

    Our estimate: about 640,000 – 1 Million iPhones may be sold in Japan during 2008:

    If we assume that iPhone sales in Japan will continue at the current rate, then we can estimate that between 640,000 – 1 Million iPhones could be sold during the remaining part of 2008 in Japan, which would be about 1.2% – 2% of mobile phones sold during 2008.

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • NTT-Data expands to Europe: Acquisition of Cirquent GmbH

    NTT-Data expands to Europe: Acquisition of Cirquent GmbH

    NTT Data and BMW agreed today, that NTT Data will acquire 72.9% of outstanding shares of Cirquent GmbH

    NTT Data thus gains BMW as largest customer in Europe

    Today, August 1, 2008, NTT Data and BMW agreed, that NTT Data will acquire 72.9% of the outstanding shares of Cirquent GmbH in order to globalize.

    Cirquent was part of the BMW Group, and is Germany’s 7th biggest system integrator

    Between 1992-2008 Cirquent was part of the BMW Group. Cirquent is No. 7 in the Luenendonk ranking of German system integrators. Among Cirquent customers are BMW, Deutsche Boerse, Muenchner Rueck (reinsurer), and T-Mobile Germany. Cirquent has about 1800 employees and achieved sales of EURO 286 Million in 2007.

    Cirquent share ownership ratios after this acquisition:

    • 72.9% NTT Data
    • 25.1% BMW AG
    • 2% Cirquent GmbH employees

    After this acquisition, BMW becomes NTT Data’s largest customer in Europe. We consider this acquisition an excellent move by NTT Data, NTT Data acquired Germany’s 7th largest system integrator, including about 1000 highly qualified employees, and at the same time also gained BMW as largest customer in Europe, together with a number of other blue chip customers such as Deutsche Boerse, Muencher Rueck and T-Mobile Germany.

    Read more about Japan’s telecom sector in our J-COMM report.

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Review of Japan Tech Earnings (CNBC TV interview)

    Review of Japan Tech Earnings (CNBC TV interview)

    More in our J-ELECTRIC report: http://www.eurotechnology.com/store/j_electric/

    Operating margins of Japan's top electronics manufacturers
    Operating margins of Japan’s top electronics manufacturers

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Sony Plans LCD TV Expansion

    Sony Plans LCD TV Expansion

    Read our report on Japan’s electronics industry sector:

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved·

  • It’s an entirely different story for the iPhone in Japan than anywhere else…

    It’s an entirely different story for the iPhone in Japan than anywhere else…

    In a terse one-line press announcement “SoftBank today announced it has signed an agreement with Apple to bring the iPhone to Japan later this year”. (Of course we are talking about the 3G i-Phone, because Japan has almost switched off the 2G networks, and has essentially stopped selling 2G phones for a couple of years now. The current initial 2G iPhone uses GSM and therefore cannot work in Japan, which has no GSM).

    iPhone’s main competitors in Japan will be SHARP and KDDI’s design series, at least for the forseeable future – an entirely different story than in any other country in the world… read below.

    Japan's mobile phone handset market size and market shares in 2008 compared to the world market
    Japan’s mobile phone handset market size and market shares in 2008 compared to the world market

    About 25% of the global cellphone market in terms of cash value is in Japan. – Why? Japanese users want a lot more functions (navigation, mobile payment, QR code, mobile shopping, mobile music and video, mobile TV, …), and are happy to pay much more per phone. Japan is a totally different game: while NOKIA has about 40% of global market, NOKIA’s marketshare in Japan is almost zero.

    Competing in Japan will be an entirely different story for the iPhone

    Japan’s cell phone is entirely different than anywhere else in the world – recently some people including Japanese Government officials have used the nickname “Galapagos islands” for Japan’s insular and very advanced cellphone market. Indeed, our company in a project for the European Union Government documented in details how Japan’s cellphone services are 3-5 years ahead of Europe’s, ie a large range of cellphone services common in Japan have not yet been introduced in Europe.

    For this reason, while the current 2G iPhone is at the high priced top-end in the US or in Europe, in Japan the 2G iPhone does not even work, because Japan has no GSM and essentially has not been selling any 2G phones any longer for a couple of years now. Many mobile services, which Japanese phone users have become accustomed to, are missing from the current 2G iPhone. Japan therefore will be a benchmark, and we expect that selling the iPhone in Japan together with Japanese customer feedback will help Apple to dramatically accelerate iPhone development. Competing in Japan will make the iPhone stronger we believe.

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • A European perspective on M&A in Japan

    Presentation at the lunch meeting of the Danish Chamber of Commerce in Japan (DCCJ) on June 4, 2008.

    Announcement

    Photos of the event

    Announcement text:

    With the very high EURO and low valuations of many Japanese companies, and with changing attitudes in Japan, now is an excellent time for European companies to start or expand business in Japan.

    There are many ways to start or expand business in Japan, and acquiring a Japanese company is one of the paths often selected by European companies to grow in Japan.

    Some acquisitions of Japanese companies by European corporations have led to fantastic successes – while others have led to catastrophic failures.

    The presentation will discuss the key factors for European companies to succeed in acquiring a Japanese company, and some of the key reasons for failure, based on the speakers 23 years of experience with Japan’s high-tech sector.

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Sony Needs a Hit Product – TV interview

    Sony Needs a Hit Product – TV interview

    Read our report on Japan’s electronics industry sector:

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Seminar in London: "M&A in Japan" (Friday 18 April 2008, 12:30-14:30)

    Seminar Description:

    Two practitioners from Tokyo will debate the changes in Japanese attitudes to mergers and acquisitions. During the course of this seminar, we will cover M&As between Japanese companies, the slow impact of foreign investment into Japan, and the outward investment strategies of Japanese companies.

    Speakers:

    Dr Gerhard Fasol, President, Eurotechnology Japan KK

    David Syrad, Managing Director/Managing Director Asia, A.K.I. Japan Limited

    Time and Date:

    Friday April 18, 2008, Sandwiches: 12:30, Seminar: 13:00-14:30

    Location:

    Daiwa Foundation Japan House, 13/14 Cornwall Terrace, London, NW1 4QP

    Price: free of charge

    To register: biz @ aptn.org

    Organizer contact: Louis Turner Tel. +44 – 790 5204 677

    More information:

    www.aptn.org

    Copyright (c) 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Sony Spotlight (CNBC TV interview)

    Sony Spotlight (CNBC TV interview)

    Read our report on Japan’s electronics industry sector:

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Yahoo Japan – Yahoo! Complication

    Yahoo Japan – Yahoo! Complication

    There are two YAHOO!s – YAHOO! Inc and YAHOO! KK. (ヤフー株式会社)

    Yahoo! KK, ヤフー株式会社 is a Japanese corporation listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange

    Yahoo! KK (ヤフー株式会社) is not a full/100% subsidiary of Yahoo Inc, but Yahoo! KK is a publicly traded company, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.

    Ownership of Yahoo! KK (ヤフー株式会社)

    • 35.45% by SoftBank
    • 6.42% by SoftBank subsidiary SBBM
    • 34.74% by Yahoo Inc.
    • 23.39% other shareholders via Tokyo Stock Exchange
    • 100% Total

    Thus effectively:

    • SoftBank (SoftBank + SBBM) holds 41.87% of Yahoo! KK (ヤフー株式会社) shares
    • Yahoo Inc. holds 34.74% of shares

    History background of Yahoo Japan

    Masayoshi Son was one of the first and major investors in Yahoo Inc., and obtained the rights to build Yahoo Japan with part investment and license to trade marks and technology from Yahoo Inc.

    Masayoshi Son and his SoftBank Group founded Yahoo Japan on January 31, 1996, and built Yahoo Japan into one of Japan’s most successful media and internet companies.

    Yahoo KK started trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (Code 4689) with the IPO on October 28, 2003.

    Market cap and size of Yahoo Inc vs Yahoo Japan

    Yahoo Inc and Yahoo KK (ヤフー株式会社) are traded totally independently on different Stock Exchanges. Therefore share price and market capitalization are not directly related.

    There are days when Yahoo KK (ヤフー株式会社) has higher market capitalization than Yahoo Inc minus the holding of Yahoo KK shares.

    Yahoo Inc and Yahoo KK (=Yahoo Japan) market cap before and after Microsofts' bid
    Yahoo Inc and Yahoo KK (=Yahoo Japan) market cap before and after Microsofts’ bid
    Yahoo Inc vs Yahoo KK (Yahoo Japan) revenues and income
    Yahoo Inc vs Yahoo KK (Yahoo Japan) revenues and income

    Preview – SoftBank today and 300 year vision report:

    Our Report on “SoftBank today and 300 year vision” (approx 120 pages, pdf file)

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved

  • Sony Needs to Change Its Game (CNBC TV interview)

    Sony Needs to Change Its Game (CNBC TV interview)

    Read our report on Japan’s electronics industry sector:

    Copyright 2013 Eurotechnology Japan KK All Rights Reserved