Japan trends for 2013 (Christmas, Festive Season blog)

New Year trends Japan

Japan trends for 2013: Energy crisis continues as a result of the Fukushima nuclear disaster

Renewables: Japan’s feed in tariffs are among the world’s highest

Japan trends for 2013: Japan’s energy sector: Prime-Minister Abe announced that he will review the Fukushima nuclear accident before taking decisions on nuclear power, essentially postponing the nuclear issue. Japan’s feed-in tariffs for renewable (new) energy sources are among the highest in the world, about three times higher than Germany’s. While renewables (except for water power) were kept below 1% by an “untouchable” rule in the past, expect the rapid built-up of renewable sources in Japan to continue, initially mainly solar energy, and later wind, geo-thermal and other sources to follow. METI is also working on liberalization of Japan’s energy markets – I would not be surprised if the election results lead to a slow-down of liberalization. (read more in our Japan-Energy-Report, outline here on slideshare).

Japan trends for 2013: Japan’s electronics industry needs “smart transformation”

Electronics sector: as we show in a previous newsletter and in our Electronics-Industry report (read outline on slideshare), Japan’s electronic component makers overall are doing much better then Japan’s electronics conglomerates, but all are in dire need of new business models. We expect winners and losers to emerge. We are impressed by Hitachi’s steps towards “smart transformation”. If successful, Hitachi’s “smart transformation” might become a model for other Japanese electronics conglomerates to follow (watch BBC-Interview).

Masayoshi Son, founder of SoftBank: “I am a man- I want to be Number One”

Telecoms: Masayoshi Son, founder of SoftBank, reportedly said: “I am a man- I want to be Number One”, and he acquired US-Telecom operator SPRINT on his way to become global No. 1 in telecoms. While Masayoshi Son was busy negotiating with SPRINT in the US, KDDI reportedly tried to snatch Japan’s No. 4 operator eAccess/eMobile away, so Masayoshi Son also acquired eAccess/eMobile on the side.

More cash revenue for Google-Play Apps in Japan than in all of the mighty USA

Mobile-App statistics provider AppAnnie recently announced that there is more cash revenue for Google-Play Apps in Japan than in all of the mighty USA. So if you are an App-Developer, and if you like to see good cash revenues, you better focus on Japan first and USA second ;) and 7 out of the Top-10 publishers by revenue on Google-Play apps are Korean or Japanese…

Japan has more FTTH subscribers than all of EU + Switzerland + Norway + Iceland

FTTH (optical fibre to the home broadband): Japan has more FTTH subscribers than all of EU + Switzerland + Norway + Iceland. EU is catching up with Japan, but Japan alone today has more FTTH broadband than all the mighty EU countries added up together. (more in our JCOMM-Report on Japan’s telecom sector).

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Japan’s successful and growing gas companies

Japan gas companies grow at an annual rate of 4.1% and show steady income. Increasing competition and cooperation between electricity and gas companies

Liberalization leads to increasing competition and partnerships between Japan’s regional electricity and gas companies

Japan gas companies grow at an annual rate of 4.1% and show steady income

Japan gas companies grow at an annual rate of 4.1% and show steady income, and have developed into serious competitors for Japan’s electricity operators, while also cooperating in electricity generation.

We have added 50 pages coverage of Japan’s very successful gas sector to our Japan-Energy-Report.

Gas companies show healthy income. Electricity operators report increasing losses
Gas companies show healthy income. Electricity operators report increasing losses

Japan’s gas companies are profitable and grow while electricity operators’ revenues stagnate and descend into losses:

We compared Japan’s gas sector with Japan’s electricity operator sector:

  • Japan big-4 gas companies’ revenues grew 4.1% per y
    Japan gas companies grow at an annual rate of 4.1% and show steady income. Increasing competition and cooperation between electricity and gas companies
    Japan gas companies grow at an annual rate of 4.1% and show steady income. Increasing competition and cooperation between electricity and gas companies
    ear for the last 12 years, while reporting stable income.
  • Japan’s 10 regional electricity operators show stagnating revenues, while descending into deep losses.

Japan’s gas companies develop into competitors for the regional electricity operators

Electricity operator's descent towards losses started in 2007, well before the Fukushima nuclear disaster
Electricity operator’s descent towards losses started in 2007, well before the Fukushima nuclear disaster

Descent into crisis of Japan’s electricity operators started in 2007:
Figure above clearly shows that the decent of Japan’s electricity operators started years before the Fukushima nuclear disaster. Therefore we conclude that restarting the nuclear reactors alone will not cure the crisis of Japan’s electricity operators, which for many years have enjoyed a monopoly position, and are now increasingly under attack by competitors including Japan’s very successful gas companies.
We added approx. 50 pages analysis of Japan’s gas sector to our Japan-Energy-Report.

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